998  
ACUS01 KWNS 220047  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 220045  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0645 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2008  
 
VALID 220100Z - 221200Z  
   
..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..GREAT LAKES
 
 
SHALLOW CONVECTION WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE GREAT LAKES AS  
HEIGHTS RISE AND THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES BECOME MORE HOSTILE AND  
LAPSE RATES WEAKEN. IF ANY LIGHTNING OCCURS DURING THE OVERNIGHT  
HOURS IT WILL BE VERY SPARSE AND MOST LIKELY LIMITED TO ERN PARTS OF  
LAKE ERIE OR PERHAPS LAKE ONTARIO.  
 
   
..WA COAST
 
 
STRONG FRONTAL BAND IS QUICKLY APPROACHING COASTAL WA. 00Z SOUNDING  
FROM UIL HAS YET TO DEPICT ANY MEANINGFUL INSTABILITY NOTED ALONG  
LEADING EDGE OF FRONTAL BAND...THOUGH A VERY SHALLOW LAYER OF CAPE  
IS NOTED IF LIFTING A PARCEL NEAR 700MB. LATEST LIGHTNING DATA DOES  
DEPICT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 35MI SW OF UIL...THOUGH THIS  
ACTIVITY HAS BEEN WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. CONTINUED  
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FRONTAL BAND MOVES ONSHORE THUS A GENERAL  
THUNDER FORECAST WILL NOT BE WARRANTED THE REST OF THE PERIOD.  
 
..DARROW.. 11/22/2008  
 
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